Tuesday, March 17, 2020

US Stock market, plus Boeing

I thought it would be a War in the mid-east that would get the dominoes falling. Turned out a real black swan. However much many think that the US stock market was on solid foundation, false premise. The underlying instabilities that caused 2008 crash never went away.

Injection of trillions, low Fed Interest rates almost free (now zero rates, i.e free)  helped the stock market soar and insiders to take their money of the table. Middle class Tax payers, Pension funds, the small retail stock buyers are left holding the bag.

I expected a probable drop to 20K and a somewhat probable to 15K. The collapse and drop even surprises me, and other skeptics. Now even 15K seems highly probable. Thats why I say read alternative media, like ZeroHedge, RT and Unz (aka Fake news) to see the other side of the spin.
Boeing:
When Boeing management said it was the fault of foreign pilots (in other words non white) spelt their own doom.  I said Boeing should drop below 100, I did not expect this fast.  Hedge fund operated Boeing, cutting corners to maximize profits. Stock buybacks, were the norm to push up stock price. Investment in safety measures, research and development, was not part of management decisions.
Maybe Trump will inject money into Boeing to get the stock price up. The insiders will sell. Retail idiots who believe Boeing is a great American Company will buy, not knowing Hedge Funds, Bezos and the like are not real Americans, i.e. those who care about the deplorables and others.
Now Trump, like the Boeing guys wants to deflect his responsibility, saying racist Chinese Virus. I think going to end much like the Boeing management.

Unhappily for the US, the alternatives in leadership are equally horrible. Biden another Trump probably worse, in the stages of Dementia and will be a puppet. If Sanders is able to get the nomination (anyone opposing Trump will win), he will be blocked by his own party the Democrats.

Update 1:
Matt Stoller, The Nation. From 2011 (!), still germane:
There’s a good amount of grumbling about the state of American infrastructure—collapsing bridges, high-speed rail, etc. But American infrastructure is not just about public goods, it’s about how the corporations that enforce, inform and organize economic activity are themselves organized. Are they doing productive research? Are they spreading knowledge and know-how to people who will use it responsibly? Are they creating prosperity or extracting wealth using raw power? And most importantly, are they contributing to the robustness of our society, such that we can survive and thrive in the normal course of emergencies?
The answer to all of these questions right now is “no.” And while this may not be hitting the elite segments of the economy right now, there will be no escape from a flu pandemic or significant food shortage. The re-engineering of our global supply chain needs to happen—and it will happen, either through good leadership or through collapse.
Note, again, the date. Stoller: “This stuff was obvious, except to economists.”

https://www.thenation.com/article/archive/how-america-could-collapse/

Dow Jones (DJI)
No photo description available.
No photo description available.

Tuesday, March 10, 2020

US Presidential Elections 2020

Update: Changed/Updated my thoughts. (2020 Aug 25)

Initially I thought, the whole Covid thing would kill Trumps chances of reelection.
Little did I know/read resilience of the support for Trump in spite of all the mistakes made in containing Covid.  The selection of Kamala Harris as VP clinched my opinion change.

My reasons,  based on reading MSM anR Alternate Media
  • a) Resilience of the support for Trump in spite of Covid management mistakes
  • b) The Biden/Kamala is not a good combination. Many African Americans, even the women are not going to vote for Kamala. Not even many African American women. I doubt they will turn up for the polls.
Why will the African American vote be skeptical of  Kamala*
i) Willys Willy and Kamalas Rise
ii) Her tough on crime (read black) and use of prison inmates.

*Kamala Harris in no African American, i.e a descendant of slaves.  Her parents were immigrant Grad students from entitled backgrounds.   The real African Americans, i.e. descendants of slaves have got soured on the new FAKE African Americans like Obama, Colin Powell and the list goes on.

Initial Change in view here
https://www.colombotelegraph.com/index.php/kamala-harris-the-dems-and-sri-lanka/comment-page-1/?unapproved=2357187&moderation-hash=a64098635d4feaf243a934669388d65f#comment-2357187

Previous Post Predicting Trump Loosing

Not necessary to go out on a Limb, Trump will  most likely loose the 2020 Elections.

Why,
a) because I think the Covid19 is going to be bigger in the US than in China (even if half bad enough).
b) Trump has not had a plan to combat the virus and partly because of the US health care system, mainly private insured. The stock market collapse will be a consequence.

I predicted Trump winning and holding his own with women, black and latino for 2016. Held his own with women, got better than Romney, Black and Latino votes.

The replacement possibilities are pretty bad too
Biden:  Another Trump, possibly more corrupt and with dementia.  He will be just a puppet to do the Wall Street and MIC's instructions.
Bernie: May have some ideas (nice in my view; socialist in others).  However, he will be ineffectual.  Even the Democratic Party does not support him, so any reform will be dead on arrival.



See update in March 17th, Stock Market + Boeing

https://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2020/03/how-many-americans-have-been-tested-coronavirus/607597/

https://www.nakedcapitalism.com/2020/03/according-to-the-who-coronavirus-is-worse-than-the-spanish-flu-which-killed-tens-of-millions-of-people.html

Rock and Roll of Sri Lanka; Papare

Rock and Roll of Sri Lanka; Papare

I would assume some here who watch Cricket have heard the Sri Lankan music at the Cricket matches. The Rock and Roll of Sri Lanka; Papare a mix of kavadi (old indigenous beats), African beats and the adoption of trumpets with gusto.

Kavadi is age old music/tribal drums for dance that was a catharsis of the psyche of frustration and repression.

Do discos and drugs play a similar role in modern society. Holy water, Holy ash, Talking in tongues, Possessed by the Spirit all the same sides of a coin.

In Europe, Christianity  almost able eradicate and replace the ancient Gods, Woden, Thor.
Unhappily, the agnostic philosophy of the Buddha never eradicated or replaced the ancient gods.
People need God/Gods, be it the rock and roll, or some theoretician like Marx or Adam Smith or variations of those.

Below is the Western Christian version of being possessed by the Spirit.


A quote from the Video above
The power of Gods sometimes moves them to dance before the Lord .. (They get drunk in the spirit).
Replace above with Kali
The power of Kali sometimes moves them to dance before the Goddess .. (They get drunk in the spirit (of Kali).






Many who do these “dances for gods/s” in style, i.e family, extended family are probably doing the rituals to atone for “sins”. Plus a big donation to the temple/priests.
In a mainstream Christian context, like donating a wing for a Church or University.  Evangelical church context, like singing and dancing and making a big donation for the pastors Jet-stream plane.
Many think the world has become more rational. Maybe, I think that for a  minute, even then I doubt it.
===
This is a secular Papare band



The ancient and the modern music meet at one of the oldest cricket matches in the world.  The Royal–Thomian played since 1879.